Léger poll: Quebec Liberals hold 55% of anglophone, allophone vote ahead of October 2026 election
You’re looking at a lopsided race. A Léger survey of Quebec’s English-speaking and allophone communities puts the Quebec Liberal Party at 55 per cent among decided voters, more than double the support of its closest rival, the Conservative Party of Quebec, at 20 per cent. The poll, conducted ahead of the October 2026 general election, shows sovereignist parties, the Parti Québécois and Québec solidaire combined, drawing just 13 per cent of decided anglophone and allophone voters.
The gap matters because English-speaking and allophone voters make up a meaningful bloc in ridings across Greater Montreal, on the West Island, and in pockets of the Outaouais and Eastern Townships. If the numbers hold through October, the Quebec Liberal Party’s anglophone support base could again anchor most of its seat count, much as it has in past elections.
Key takeaways
- The Quebec Liberal Party’s anglophone support sits at 55 per cent among decided voters, according to the Léger poll, and allophones show a similar pattern.
- Conservative Party of Quebec anglophone voters account for 20 per cent of the decided vote, making the Conservatives the clear second choice.
- Sovereignist parties combined hold only 13 per cent of decided anglophone and allophone voters, versus 44 per cent support for sovereignty among francophones.
- Only 16.7 per cent of anglophones believe English is adequately protected in Quebec, a gap worth watching if language legislation becomes a campaign issue.
- Regional splits matter: Liberal support reaches 57 per cent in Greater Montreal but drops to 48 per cent off-island, meaning ridings outside the metropolitan core could see more competition.
How the numbers break down among decided voters
Three parties account for 84 per cent of the decided vote among anglophones and allophones heading toward the October 2026 general election, according to the survey. The remaining share splits among the PQ, Québec solidaire, and undecided or minor-party voters. That concentration in just two parties, Liberal and Conservative, is where the real contest lies for this electorate.
Quebec Liberal Party’s 55% support explained
Fifty-five per cent isn’t a new phenomenon for the Liberals among this demographic. The party has long been the default option for English-speaking Quebecers wary of sovereignist politics, and the 2026 numbers suggest that pattern hasn’t shifted despite years of criticism that the party takes anglophone votes for granted. One reader responding to coverage of the poll put it bluntly: “None of the political parties have the best interests of the Anglo/Allophone community at heart. Fear keeps them voting Liberal.” That sentiment, whether or not you agree with it, captures the strategic calculation many anglophone voters describe making at the ballot box.
Conservative Party of Quebec’s 20% share among anglophones
Twenty per cent is a notable foothold for a party that didn’t exist in its current form a decade ago. Éric Duhaime’s Conservatives have made inroads by positioning themselves as an alternative to both the CAQ’s language policies and the Liberals’ perceived complacency. Whether that 20 per cent converts into seats depends heavily on riding-level concentration, since anglophone and allophone voters are not evenly distributed across the province.
PQ and CAQ trail with single-digit to low double-digit support
The Parti Québécois draws just three per cent support among anglophones, though it performs better among allophones at 11 per cent, according to polling reported by the Montreal Gazette. The CAQ, meanwhile, sits in low double digits among this electorate, a weak showing for the party currently governing the province. For a party built partly on managing Quebec’s national question without triggering another referendum, that underperformance among non-francophone voters suggests limited crossover appeal outside its francophone base.
Regional differences: Greater Montreal versus off-island ridings
Geography changes the math. Liberal support reaches 57 per cent in Greater Montreal but falls to 48 per cent in off-island ridings, a 9-point gap that reflects differences in community composition and local political history. Broken down by group, the party draws 59 per cent among anglophones and 52 per cent among allophones overall, and allophones show slightly more willingness to consider alternatives.
| Region | Liberal support | Anglophone support | Allophone support |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greater Montreal | 57% | 59% | 52% |
| Off-island ridings | 48% | lower than Montreal | lower than Montreal |
This regional variance matters for campaign planning. Off-island ridings, where anglophone populations are smaller and more dispersed, present more competitive terrain for the Conservatives and even the CAQ than the Liberal strongholds of the West Island and parts of downtown Montreal.
Why fear of sovereignty still drives anglophone voting patterns
Sovereignty remains the defining fault line. Among francophones, support for sovereignty rises to 44 per cent, according to Léger’s broader provincial tracking, while overall support for Quebec independence sits above a third of the population according to Qc125, a site that aggregates Quebec political polling. Against that backdrop, anglophone and allophone voters continue to treat any party associated with sovereignty as a non-starter.
Only 13% of decided anglo and allophone voters back sovereignist parties
Thirteen per cent is a ceiling that has held for years. It reflects a structural reality: voters who prioritize federalism above almost every other policy issue simply won’t consider the PQ or Québec solidaire, regardless of those parties’ positions on education, health care, or the economy. That leaves the Liberals and Conservatives to fight over the remaining 87 per cent, with the CAQ picking up scraps in between.
English-language protection concerns: 16.7% say English is safeguarded
Only 16.7 per cent of anglophones say English is properly protected in Quebec, compared to 72 per cent of francophones, according to the survey. That 55-point gap in perception goes beyond an academic curiosity: it signals deep distrust toward provincial language policy, including Bill 96, and helps explain why anglophone voters gravitate toward parties seen as less aggressive on language enforcement.
What anglophone and allophone voters say matters most this election
Language protection and economic stability top the list of concerns cited by respondents, according to reporting on the survey. Health care access, particularly the availability of English-language services, ranks close behind. Allophone voters show more openness to sovereignist parties than anglophones do, with the PQ’s 11 per cent support among allophones nearly four times its support among anglophones. That split suggests allophone communities aren’t as politically uniform as often assumed.
Methodology and margin of error behind the Léger survey
The poll was conducted online among Quebec residents aged 18 and older who self-identify as anglophone or allophone, ahead of the October 2026 provincial election. As with most online panel surveys, a traditional margin of error doesn’t strictly apply, though Léger’s provincial-level polling typically carries a margin of error of roughly plus or minus 2 to 3 percentage points for samples of this size. Treat the anglophone and allophone subsample figures as directionally reliable rather than precise to the decimal point, given the smaller sample size relative to province-wide polls.
What this means for the October 2026 provincial election
Nothing in this poll suggests a dramatic realignment. What it does confirm is that the anglophone vote for the 2026 Quebec election remains heavily concentrated in two parties, with the Liberals holding a commanding but not unchallenged lead.
Seat math in anglophone-heavy ridings
Ridings like Notre-Dame-de-Grâce, D’Arcy-McGee, and Jacques-Cartier have historically delivered lopsided Liberal margins, and 55 per cent province-wide support among this demographic likely translates to even higher concentrations in those specific districts. The Conservative Party’s 20 per cent share, if it holds, probably isn’t enough to flip safe Liberal seats, but it could matter in more competitive ridings where anglophone and allophone voters make up a smaller, less dominant share of the electorate.
Risks for the Quebec Liberal Party in relying on a single voter bloc
Relying on a captive electorate carries its own danger. If the Liberals treat anglophone support as guaranteed rather than earned, they risk exactly the kind of erosion the Conservatives are counting on. Twenty per cent support for a relatively new party is not nothing, and if language protection concerns continue to fester at 16.7 per cent approval, the Liberals could see that number climb before October 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Which party do Quebec anglophones support most in 2026 polling?
The Quebec Liberal Party leads with 55 per cent support among decided anglophone and allophone voters, according to the Léger poll, followed by the Conservative Party of Quebec at 20 per cent.
How does allophone support differ from anglophone support?
Allophones show more willingness to consider sovereignist options, with the PQ drawing 11 per cent support among allophones compared to just three per cent among anglophones. Liberal support also runs slightly lower among allophones (52 per cent) than anglophones (59 per cent) in Greater Montreal.
What percentage of anglophones support Quebec sovereignty?
Sovereignist parties combined hold just 13 per cent of decided anglophone and allophone voters, far below the roughly 44 per cent support for sovereignty measured among francophones.
When is the next Quebec provincial election?
Quebec’s next general election is scheduled for October 2026, under the province’s fixed election date law.
Who conducted the anglophone and allophone voter survey?
The poll was conducted by Léger, one of Canada’s largest polling firms, using an online survey of Quebec residents aged 18 and over who identify as anglophone or allophone.